[URPE] "Global Scenarios for the Century Ahead: Searching for Sustainability" -- Corrected Link

[urpe-moderator at lists.econ.utah.edu]

The Tellus Institute of Boston is pleased to announce the release of our 
new research paper "Global Scenarios for the Century Ahead: Searching 
for Sustainability", May 2010.

*Abstract: *Building on earlier work of the Global Scenario Group and 
the Stockholm Environment Institute - Boston, this paper presents four 
updated and contrasting global scenarios for the twenty-first Century 
created with the PoleStar modeling system.  These scenarios feature 
brief narratives and integrated quantifications across numerous 
economic, social, resource, and environmental dimensions. Alternative 
pathways for meeting a set of sustainability targets are evaluated, 
focusing on a comparison of conventional and transformative strategies 
between two of those scenarios: Policy Reform versus Great Transition.  
One basis for our overall evaluation of sustainability is a new Quality 
of Development Index (QDI) which is designed to take into account many 
of the dimensions modeled.  The quantitative findings of these updated 
scenarios are compared and contrasted to some other major 
sustainability/climate studies. The need for a fundamental shift in the 
development paradigm for the future is stressed, including much greater 
equity and less material growth, in order to enhance the feasibility of 
sustainability.

The full paper can be downloaded for free at:  
http://www.tellus.org/publications/files/Global_Scenarios_for_the_Century_Ahead.pdf 
<http://www.tellus.org/publications/files/global_scenarios_for_the_Century_Ahead/pdf> 


 Sincerely,

Richard Rosen
Senior Fellow
Tellus Institute, Boston, MA

 

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