[R-G] [BillTottenWeblog] Is Obama Gorbachev?
Bill Totten
shimogamo at ashisuto.co.jp
Tue Jul 21 18:33:33 MDT 2009
Clusterfuck Nation
by James Howard Kunstler
Comment on current events by the author of
The Long Emergency (2005)
www.kunstler.com (July 20 2009)
The eulogy for Walter Cronkite as "the most trusted man in America" on the
CBS "Sixty Minutes" show said a lot about the condition of this nation -
though it did not signify what CBS thought it did. It wasn't about the
death of one hugely esteemed individual; it was about the broad
institutional failure of TV news in general and the current grievous loss
of legitimacy and authority in shaping a national consensus of reality.
Watching the old clips of Cronkite delivering the evening news years ago,
one couldn't help weighing the contrast with the current spectacle of
snide, combative, overbearing idiocy acted out nightly by the likes of
Kudlow, Olberman, Kneale, O'Reilly, Matthews, and Dobbs as they shout down
their invited guest commentators, pander to their demographic, and diss
their rivals for ratings.
It was instructive to notice that the program following "Sixty Minutes" -
in the supreme weekly slot of 8 pm Sunday - was a childish and stupid
"reality" show called "Big Brother". This said even more about the craven
quality of the people currently running CBS. It was also a useful lesson
in the diminishing returns of technology as applied to television, since
it should now be obvious that the expansion of cable broadcasting since
the heyday of the "big three" networks has led only to the mass
replication of video garbage rather than a banquet of culture, as first
touted.
It should remind us more generally that when a society's operations become
broadly fraudulent and unreal, authority and legitimacy wither. This is
analogous to the position Barack Obama now finds himself in. He was
elected as the politician most trusted in America to change the fraudulent
and unreal operations of the US government. Don't bother protesting that
all politics is necessarily unreal and fraudulent. If it were so, you'd
have to argue that the US Constitution was wholly a fraud, as well as
Madison, Jefferson, Hamilton and the rest. It only has strong tendencies
in that direction. (The Declaration of Independence was itself a direct
strike against the fraud and unreality of British royal governance in
America.)
As president, Barack Obama is faced with the essential fraudulence and
unreality of the US economy. Notice that, as ominous as they are, the
wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have generated only minimal protest so far in
the early Obama period, despite the fact that they are not operationally
different from their conduct under Bush. There is no protest because, for
now, a consensus exists that our troops are in these places for perceived
reasons - to keep Mideast oil supply lines open ... to keep Islamic
maniacs busy in their own backyard instead of on US territory ... to keep
Iran in a vise ... to maintain the American "empire" (take your pick).
There's something there to appeal to a broad majority of US voters. Unlike
Vietnam, Iraq and Afstan are not perceived as out-and-out frauds.
But the economy is. Since September of 2008, when Hank Paulson began
shoveling bail-outs to the very banks who screwed the world on fraudulent
and unreal securities, and left American society comprehensively bankrupt,
the consensus has only deepened on the perception of an historic swindle.
And so far, President Obama has positioned himself as chief enabler to
further swindling. One need look no further than the rulings this past
spring of the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) as authorized by
the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC, an official government
agency, created 1934), which have allowed the biggest banks to pretend
that the fraudulent paper in their vaults does not have to be recorded as
a loss on their books.
The US economy is now dying a slow and painful death because it had become
based on activities that had nothing to do with producing real wealth.
Instead, it became dependent on rackets, that is, behavior geared to
getting something for nothing. These rackets are often summarized under
the acronym FIRE (for finance, insurance and real estate), a system set up
to strip-mine profits from the wish commonly labeled "the American Dream"
- itself largely a product of televised advertising and propaganda. The
end product of all that was the doomed economy of suburban sprawl, an
infrastructure for daily life with no future in a world defined by fossil
fuel scarcity. The unraveling of debt at every level now is directly
related to the mis-investments made in that way of life.
By now, it's self-evident that the "change" voted for in November's
election was too horrifying to articulate. It still is. The suburban
sprawl economy was all we had left. Now it's gone and we're stuck with
all its deleveraging after-effects - the worst case of "buyer's remorse"
since the fall of Nazi Germany. Thus, the only "change" that President
Obama can really work for is the health care system, which is a
life-and-death matter. The sordid rackets so ostentatiously infecting the
system boil down vividly to lives ruined and bankrupted, and a system more
frightful to deal with than disease itself. Probably the baseline truth is
that health care will end up being rationed one way or another. It's
another prime symptom of population overshoot, and a reminder that life is
tragic.
As another blogger put it so nicely last week on the web (sorry, but I
forget who or where), this isn't a "recession", it's a collapse. The
excellent Dmitry Orlov has outlined the process very nicely in his book
Reinventing Collapse (2008) about the parallels between the demise of the
Soviet Union and the prospects for demise of the US as currently
constituted. Mikhail Gorbachev presided over the Soviet collapse. He must
have been a leader of very subtle abilities. Not only did he survive to
enjoy a busy second act of life with a Nobel Prize in his pocket, but he
accomplished a nearly bloodless transition in a society long-conditioned
to bloodletting as the primary political act.
Here in the USA, where we have had over two hundred years experience with
peaceful power transitions - even during the convulsions of 1860-65 - the
outcome this time might not be so appetizing. It would be one of the
supreme ironies of history if it turned out that the US was incapable of
ending its most self-destructive rackets peacefully and bloodlessly, while
the Russians shucked off its Soviet racket like an old sweater. The way I
see it, Mr Obama just doesn't have much time before his authority and
legitimacy slough off and he is left with only his genial smile. The
"hope" vested in him will end up in a Museum of Lost Hopes, along with the
integrity of TV news and the rectitude of the medical profession. And
funding for that museum will be cut by President Sarah Palin, representing
Naziism US style - that is, Naziism without the brains.
Post-script:
Tom Wolfe wrote a fabulous op-ed in the Sunday New York Times
commemorating the Apollo 11 moon landing of 1969. In it, he speculated
that the achievment itself spelled the end of the NASA program because it
lacked a philosopher corps that might have furnished it with more meaning
beyond its element of "single combat" between the US and the Soviets in
the "space race." This meaning, he said, might have been supplied by
someone like NASA's chief engineer Wernher Von Braun, who once stated (in
effect) before a congressional committee that "... we must build a bridge
to the stars, because as far as we know, we are the only sentient
creatures in the entire universe. When do we start building that bridge to
the stars? We begin as soon as we are able, and this is that time. We must
not fail in this obligation we have to keep alive the only meaningful life
we know of .... Unfortunately, NASA couldn't present as its spokesman and
great philosopher a former high-ranking member of the Nazi Wehrmacht with
a heavy German accent."
The further trouble, of course, is now that we sentient creatures seem to
be in the process of destroying our home planet, how might we justify our
spread to other worlds? We've fallen short both in resources and
philosophy. In our current state of evolution we seem unlikely to ever
again go further afield than the moon and not exactly worthy of making
trips elsewhere anyway. Stay tuned a few hundred thousand years ...
_____
My new novel of the post-oil future, World Made By Hand, is available at
all booksellers.
http://kunstler.com/blog/2009/07/is-obama-gorbachev.html
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