[R-G] [BillTottenWeblog] The 'Chicago Plan' and New Deal Banking Reform
Bill Totten
shimogamo at ashisuto.co.jp
Sat Jan 10 17:29:10 MST 2009
by Ronnie J Phillips
The Jerome Levy Economics Institute of Bard College
Working Paper No 76 (June 1992)
The history of the legislative changes in the financial system which
occurred during the 28 months from Franklin D Roosevelt's inauguration
in March 1933 until the passage of the Banking Act of 1935 has been well
documented [Burns 1974; Kennedy 1973]. This period saw the enactment of
the Emergency Banking Act, the Banking Acts of 1933 and 1935, as well as
reforms of the stock market and agricultural credit. The existing
histories have given us detailed examinations of the political
maneuvering involved in the passage of the legislation, but they have
neglected the role of the "Chicago Plan" - the 1933 proposal put forward
in a series of memoranda by economists at the University of Chicago to
abolish the fractional reserve system and impose 100% reserves on demand
deposits. The proposal was known to the Roosevelt administration prior
to the passage of the Banking Act of 1933 and later led directly to
legislation introduced by Senator Bronson Cutting of New Mexico, and
other Progressives, as part of the debate over the Banking Act of 1935.
The influence of the Chicago Plan was felt even before Irving Fisher's
more widely known, and largely unsuccessful, efforts to enlist
Roosevelt's support for the 100% reserve plan [Allen 1977, 1991].
The Chicago Plan was a proposal to radically change the structure of our
financial system, and as such its best chance of passage was in the
period of the early New Deal. The objective of this paper is to document
the role of the Chicago Plan in the debates over New Deal banking
legislation, and provide an assessment of why the Chicago Plan
ultimately lost out to the alternative measures embodied in the Banking
Act of 1935. The failure of the Chicago Plan in the 1930s is also of
interest in the contemporary debates over banking reform. The Chicago
Plan, by restricting bank assets, would not have saddled the taxpayers
with an enormous liability from federal deposit insurance. Recently,
proposals have been put forward for "narrow" or "core" banks, which
restrict bank assets, and embody many of the components of the Chicago
Plan [Tobin 1985, 1987; Bryan 1988, 1991].
The Banking Crisis and the March Memorandum
The stock market crash of October 1929 was followed one year later by a
banking crisis lasting from October to December 1930. As deposits in
failed banks rose, a contagion spread to convert demand and time
deposits into currency and, to a lesser extent, postal savings deposits
[Friedman and Schwartz 1963: 308]. In December, the failure of the Bank
of United States, though a private commercial bank, furthered damaged
confidence in the banking system [Friedman and Schwartz 1963: 3113.
After a brief respite, this was followed by the second banking crisis in
March 1931 which peaked in June with $200 million in deposits of
suspended banks [Friedman and Schwartz 1963: 314].
In January 1932, President Hoover asked Congress for legislation to
reform the banking system. Hoover asked for a strengthening of the
Federal Land Bank System, the creation of the Reconstruction Finance
Corporation, the creation of Home Loan Discount Banks, an enlargement of
the discount privileges of the Federal Reserve Banks, and a plan to
safeguard depositors and a swifter means of paying off those who held
deposits in closed banks [Krooss 1969: 2670-2671]. During the same
month, the Reconstruction Finance Corporation (RFC) was created and
authorized to loan to banks and railroads [Friedman and Schwartz 1963:
321]. The Glass-Steagall Act, passed on February 27 1932, allowed the
Federal Reserve to hold government securities against Federal Reserve
notes and widened the circumstances under which member banks could
borrow from the Fed [Friedman and Schwartz 1963: 321]. In July 1932, the
Federal Home Loan Bank Act, which attempted to respond to the problems
of home mortgage financing institutions by allowing advances to be made
to those institutions on the basis of first mortgages, was passed
[Friedman and Schwartz 1963: 321-322]. The only piece of legislation
which did not pass was a bill for temporary deposit insurance introduced
in May by Congressman Henry Steagall, which was not reported out of
committee [Friedman and Schwartz 1963: 321].
In January 1933, the RFC made public the list of financial institutions
that it had loaned to (Hoover had insisted they not be public). One
state (Nevada) had already declared a banking holiday in October 1932,
and was followed by Iowa in January, Louisiana and Michigan in February,
and by March 3rd, there were bank holidays declared in about half the
states. The pressure intensified on the New York banks and on March 4th,
a banking holiday was declared in New York state [Friedman and Schwartz
1963: 324-327].
When Roosevelt came into office, he faced a myriad of problems related
to the economy. Farmers, workers, bankers, politicians, were all
demanding action. On the financial front, there were three critical
issues which had to be dealt with: (1) the safety of the medium of
exchange; (2) the financing of the capital development of the economy;
and (3) the control of money and credit by the Federal Reserve. In
response to the widespread bank holidays which had already been declared
by many states, Franklin Roosevelt's first act as President was to
declare a national bank holiday for the period March 4-9 1933. In his
inaugural address, Roosevelt, referring to the financial collapse,
stated that "The money changers have fled from their high seats in the
temple of our civilization" [Schlesinger 1957: 7; Tugwell 1957: 289].
Despite the eloquent rhetoric against bankers, Helen Burns observed,
Roosevelt never definitively set forth his own views own banking [Burns
1974: 183]. {1} Roosevelt was against federal deposit insurance, at
least when he took office. During his first press conference he was
asked to comment on federal deposit insurance and he did so, but asked
that his remarks be kept off the record. Roosevelt said of federal
deposit insurance:
The general underlying thought behind the use of the word 'guarantee'
with respect to bank deposits is that you guarantee bad banks as well as
good banks. The minute the Government starts to do that the Government
runs into a probable loss ... We do not wish to make the United States
Government liable for the mistakes and errors of individual banks, and
put a premium on unsound banking in the future [Roosevelt 1939: 37].
{1} During the period of the banking holiday, Roosevelt proposed to his
advisors a plan for converting all government bonds ($21 billion at the
time) directly into cash at par. His advisors thought it would be a
disaster, but Roosevelt told them to come up with an alternative. Also
discussed was the issuing of script or a direct printing of Federal
Reserve Notes to provide the banks with enough cash to meet withdrawal
demands. This plans were not needed because at the end of the bank
holiday, widespread runs had ended [Burns 1974: 45].
Roosevelt's concern over the plight of debtors, especially farmers, was
also evident. Writing a few months later to his Secretary of Treasury
William Woodin, Roosevelt blasted the bankers and economists for their
neglect of the problem:
I wish our banking and economists friends would realize the seriousness
of the situation from the point of view of the debtor classes, - ie,
ninety per cent of the human beings in this country - and think less
from the point of view of the ten per cent who constitute the creditor
classes [Roosevelt to Woodin, September 30 1933].
The Emergency Banking Act, which was passed in less than an hour, did
not provide any permanent solutions to the problem, it only gave the
Congress and the President a breathing spell in which to formulate a
plan. During his first fireside chat that Roosevelt explained his
reasons for closing the banks and announced their reopening. It is a
tribute to Roosevelt's charisma that when the banks reopened on Monday,
March 13th, the runs had virtually ended. Walter Lippmann remarked that
"In one week, the nation, which had lost confidence in everything and
everybody, has regained confidence in the government and in itself"
[Schlesinger 1958: 13]. Raymond Moley, one of the original Brain
Trusters wrote: "Capitalism was saved in eight days" [Moley 1939: 155].
In is within this historical context that economists at the University
of Chicago presented their proposal for reform of the banking system.
The six page memorandum on banking reform which was given limited and
confidential distribution to about forty individuals on March 16 1933
[Knight 1933]. A copy of the memorandum was sent to Henry A Wallace,
then Secretary of Agriculture, with a cover letter signed by Frank
Knight. The letter listed the following supporters of the plan: F H
Knight, L W Mints, Henry Schultz, H C Simons, G V Cox, Aaron Director,
Paul Douglas, and A G Hart.{2} The authors anticipated skepticism about
their plan as evidenced by a typed postscript which stated: "We hope you
are one of the forty odd who get this who will not think we are quite
looney (sic), I think Viner really agrees but doesn't believe it good
politics".
{2} After the passage of the Glass-Steagall bill in February 1932, there
were two other proposals on the legislative agenda intended to stimulate
the economy. The first was an amendment by Wright Patman to pay the
remaining portion of the veterans' bonus in the form of a direct issue
of $2.4 billion in fiat currency. The second was the Goldsborough Bill
which would direct the Federal Reserve to take appropriate actions to
raise the price level [Barber 1985: 155]. In mid-April, Congressman
Samuel B Pettengill solicited responses to the Patman proposal from
leading economists. Twelve members of the economics faculty at the
University of Chicago responded in a lengthy statement which advocated
federal expenditures financed by deficit spending, unless the gold
standard could be abandoned and a direct issue of currency could be
utilized to increase purchasing power. The document included concerns
about the role of credit and price in flexibility in the economy [Barber
1985: 156-157]. A group of eleven Chicago economists signed a memoranda
in January 1933 which advocated deficit spending as a way out of the
depression [Schlesinger 1960: 237].
The proposal opens with the statement: "It is evident that drastic
measures must soon be taken with reference to banking, currency, and
federal fiscal policy". The general recommendations were: (a) federal
guarantee of deposits; (b) the guarantee only be taken as part of a
drastic program of banking reform which will certainly and permanently
prevent any possible recurrence of the present banking crisis; and (c)
the Administration announce and pursue a policy of bringing about, and
maintaining a moderate increase in the level of wholesale prices, not to
exceed fifteen per cent [Knight 1933: 1].
The detailed suggestions advocated outright ownership of the Federal
Reserve Banks; the guarantee of the deposits of member banks which were
open for business March 3rd 1933 but subject to full supervisory control
over the management of these banks by the Fed. They advocated the issue
of Federal Reserve Notes, which should be declared legal tender, in any
amounts which may be necessary to meet demands for payment by
depositors. Further, the Federal Reserve Banks should liquidate the
assets of all member banks, pay off liabilities, and dissolve all
existing banks and new institutions should be created which accepted
only demand deposits subject to a 100% reserve requirement in lawful
money and/or deposits with the Reserve Banks. Saving deposits would be
handled through the incorporation of investment trusts. Present banking
institutions would continue deposit and lending functions under Federal
Reserve supervision until the new institutions can be put into place.
The government should then undertake to raise the price level by fifteen
per cent by fiscal and currency means but further inflation (beyond
fifteen per cent) be prevented. Finally, there should be suspension of
free-coinage of gold, embargo upon gold import, prohibition of private
export of gold, call in all gold coins in exchange for Federal Reserve
notes, suspension of the gold-clause in all debt contracts, and
substantial government sale and export of gold abroad [Knight 1933].
Henry Wallace, then Secretary of Agriculture, gave the Chicago Plan to
Roosevelt less than a week after it was distributed. Wallace hoped FDR
would give the plan serious consideration, though the plan was a radical
break with the past. Wallace wrote to Roosevelt:
The memorandum from the Chicago economists which I gave you at [the]
Cabinet meeting Tuesday, is really awfully good and I hope that you or
Secretary Woodin will have the time and energy to study it. Of course
the plan outlined is quite a complete break with our present banking
history. It would be an even more decisive break than the founding of
the Federal Reserve System [Wallace to Roosevelt, March 23 1933].
Though Roosevelt's views on the Chicago Plan are unknown, the plan
addressed his concerns of deposit safety, the separation of investment
and commercial banking, and reflation. it also provided an alternative
to those who advocated branch banking, which Roosevelt was very much
against because he thought it would mean domination of the small banks
by the larger banks. The recommendation for deposit insurance was that
it only be a temporary measure as part of permanent reform.
During the first 100 days of the Roosevelt administration, numerous
measures were passed to deal with the economic situation, and especially
the crisis of the banking system and agricultural. On March 20, the
Economy Act was passed; on March 31, the Civilian Conservation Corp was
created; and on April 19, the US went off the gold standard. These
measures were followed by the sweeping reforms of the Agricultural
Adjustment Act (AAA) in May which sought to raise agriculture prices
through output restrictions. An amendment to the AAA gave the President
the power to issue greenbacks and to monetize gold [Schlesinger 1958:
199-200]. Congress also passed the Emergency Farm Mortgage Act in May
which provided for the refinancing of farm mortgages. The month of June
saw the passage of the Home Owners's Loan Act, providing for the
refinancing of home mortgages, the National Industrial Recovery Act
(which included a public works program), the Farm Credit Act, the joint
resolution by Congress to suspend the gold standard and abrogate the
gold clause, and perhaps most importantly, the Banking Act of 1933,
which separated investment and commercial banking, established temporary
federal deposit insurance, and made an official body the previously
informal Federal Open Market Committee.
Thus by June, many of the proposals contained in the March memoranda had
been enacted. Though there was a separation of commercial and
investment banking, 100% reserve deposit banks had not been created.
Federal Reserve notes had not been declared legal tender, and though
liberalized, the Federal Reserve still did not have full use of its
policy tools to affect monetary aggregates. The Fed had long had the
discount rate, though it could vary regionally, and now as a result of
the Thomas Amendment to the AAA, the suspension of the gold standard,
and the Banking Act of 1933, it could issue Federal Reserve notes.
However, the Fed was not yet totally free to set reserve requirements.
Though Roosevelt had opposed deposit insurance, there was strong support
for it within Congress and the general public. As Carter Golembe has
argued, federal deposit insurance was neither requested nor supported by
the Roosevelt administration. Deposit insurance was purely a creation
of Congress where for nearly fifty years there had been attempts to
introduce it. Its adoption in 1933 was, according to Golembe, due to a
uniting of two groups: those that wished to end the destruction of
circulating medium due to bank failures and those who sought to preserve
the existing bank structure [Golembe 1960: 182]. Deposits up to $2,500
were insured 100%, up to $5,000 insured 75%, and over $10,000, fifty per
cent.
There was also widespread support for the separation of commercial and
investment banking because it was believed that bankers had speculated
with depositors' funds in the stock market, and when the stock market
speculation spree ended, many banks became insolvent. The separation of
investment and commercial banking was supported by prominent bankers
such as Winthrop Aldrich [Leuchtenburg 1963: 60].
The two proposals, for federal insurance and separation of commercial
and investment banking, were linked in the Banking Act of 1933. The
linking of these two reforms is vital in the understanding of the
subsequent evolution of the debates and reforms. Though they became
identified as administration measures, the crisis nature of 1933, and
the support of a new administration, merely facilitated their passage.
Deposit insurance made banks "safe" not by direct restrictions on their
assets, but rather by the promise that the government would guarantee
all banks, both good and bad. The separation of commercial and
investment banking removed some abuses resulting from the use of
depositors' funds in stock market speculations, but it did not address
directly the issue of financing for the capital development of the economy.
On passage of the Act, J P Morgan predicted that the separation would
have dire effects on his firm's ability to supply capital "for the
development of the country" [Schlesinger 1958: 443]. William O Douglas
observed that the Act was a nineteenth century piece of legislation
which ignored the need the problem of capital structure and the need to
manage investment [Schlesinger 1958: 445]. While it is true that the RFC
had undertaken the role of providing capital funds for industry, the
banking legislation attempted to restore credit availability by
restoring confidence in the medium of exchange, and therefore an
increase in bank deposits. The Banking Act of 1933 attempted to kill two
birds with one stone. Though it succeeded in stopping bank runs, the
fractional reserve nature of the banking system, coupled with a lack of
power on the part of the Federal Reserve Board, effectively undermined
the ability of the financial system to supply adequate investment funds.
In 1929, the ratio of loans to total assets for all commercial banks
was 58%. By 1934, that ratio had fallen to 38%, as total bank assets
began increasing after falling steadily from 1929 to 1933. This was also
in spite of the fact that total bank failures went from 4,000 in 1933 to
61 in 1934. Clearly, though bank numbers were increasing and total
assets were increasing, bank loans remained at about the same level from
1933 to 1936. The economy was in a credit crunch.
In late October 1933, Roosevelt began the gold purchase program,
operating through the RFC, in an attempt to raise agricultural prices
through the purchase of domestically held gold. According to Arthur
Schlesinger, the gold-purchase program set the financial community in an
uproar and the result was a national debate over monetary policy that
had not been seen since the William Jennings Bryan campaign of 1896
[Schlesinger 1958: 244-245]. With the 73rd Congress meeting for a second
session, it was clear that 1934 was to be the decisive year for debate
on monetary reform. However, after the introduction of deposit
insurance, bank failures dropped from 4,000 in 1933 to 61 in 1934.
Federal deposit insurance was a program which had worked to restore to
confidence in the banking system and assured little opposition to the
establishment of permanent deposit insurance.
Though much had been accomplished by November 1933, the central problem
which remained was the Federal Reserve's ability to use all means
available to it to affect monetary aggregates. In order to do this,
changes would have to be made to the Federal Reserve Act which would
restrict the power of individual Reserve Banks, especially New York,
while strengthening the power of the Federal Reserve Board in
Washington. This was the focus of the November Chicago memoranda, and
it was to become the crucial issue in the Banking Act of 1935.
The November 1933 Memoranda
During the period March to November, the Chicago economists received
comments from a number of individuals on their proposal and in November
1933 another memorandum was prepared. {3} The memorandum was expanded
to thirteen pages, there was a supplementary memorandum on "Long-time
Objectives of Monetary Management" (seven pages) and an appendix titled
"Banking and Business Cycles" (six pages). Though signed by the same
group of economists, this document was evidently written by Henry
Simons. {4} The proposal began by noting that government had failed in
its primary function of controlling currency by allowing banks to usurp
this power. Such "free banking" in deposit creation "gives us an
unreliable and inhomogeneous medium; and it gives us a regulation or
manipulation of currency which is totally perverse". What was necessary
was a "complete reorientation of our thinking and a redefinition of the
objectives of reform". [Simons 1933:1] The solution was the "outright
abolition of deposit banking on the fractional-reserve principle".
[Simons 1933: 2]
{3} In April Simons circulated a revised version of the last three pages
of the March proposal. This material was later expanded and used in the
November version.
{4} In a letter to Paul Douglas, Simons wrote: The memorandum, as I
consider it now, has so many faults that there should be no quarrels
over "proprietorship". Actually I did write the thing alone; but it
would never have been written except for my conversations with other
people, Mr Director especially; and it never would have been circulated
without favorable critical reports from yourself and the other members
of the group. So, what is uniquely my own is merely the phrasing [Simons
to Paul Douglas, October 2 1934].
The proposal included many of the items in March reform: (i) Federal
ownership of the Federal Reserve Banks; (ii) exclusive Congressional
powers to grant charters for deposit banking; (iii) suspension of all
powers of existing corporations to engage in deposit banking within two
years; (iv) creation of a new type of deposit bank with 100% reserves in
the form of notes and deposits at the Federal Reserve Banks; (v)
abolition of reserve requirements for Federal Reserve Banks; (vi)
replacement of private-bank credit with Federal Reserve bank credit over
a two- year transition period; and restricting currency to only Federal
Reserve notes. However, they went on to add: (vii) enacting a simple
rule of monetary policy; (viii) and achievement of a price-level
specified by Congress. There is no mention of federal deposit insurance
which had already gone into effect in June.
As before, the plan would displace existing commercial banks by two
types of institutions: deposit banks and investment trusts. If private
companies failed to provide new deposits, then government through the
extension of a postal savings system could offer such deposits. [Simons
1933: 6] Investment trust banks would acquire funds exclusively by sale
of their own securities, thereby limiting-their lending capacity to the
funds so obtained. Investment trust banks would provide a service by
bringing borrowers and lenders together, and could therefor charge for
this service. [Simons 1933: 7] The memorandum also evaluated a return
to the gold standard (which was rejected unless it was a 100% gold
standard) and various rules to guide monetary policy, including
price-level stabilization. [Simons 1933: 8-11] The proposal noted that a
monetary rule which set money supply growth could be carried out by
conversion of interest-bearing federal debt into non-interest bearing
debt, open market operations by the Reserve banks, an increase in
federal expenditures, or a reduction in federal taxes. [Simons 1933: 12]
In summary, the memoranda stated that the Federal Reserve Act had faulty
objectives because commercial paper offered no real liquidity, and that
the answer lay in the abolition of fractional reserve banking, so that a
reconstituted Federal Reserve would have precise power over the money
supply. However, monetary management was not to be discretionary, but
subject to definite rules laid down by Congress.
This version of the proposal which was given to Gardiner C Means, who
worked for Assistant Secretary of Agriculture, Rexford G Tugwell.
Means's responded to the Chicago Plan in a three page, single spaced
memo [Means, "Comment", C1933]. Given the Administration's concern over
the relationship between farmers and bankers, it is no surprise that the
Agriculture Department would be interested in monetary reform. Mean's
praised the Chicago memorandum's primary objective of placing control of
the monetary medium in the exclusive hands of government, and the method
by which the transition would be effected [Means 1933: 1]. He thought
the Chicago proposal provided a "relatively simple and direct method of
dealing with the deposits aspect of our banking system", though it would
likely be opposed by bankers [Means 1933: 2]. Means's only disagreements
with the plan was that he would allow the Federal Reserve banks to
purchase high grade commercial paper in order to establish 100%
reserves, and Means argued that monetary policy should be discretionary,
and not subject to a rule [Means 1933: 3]. It is interesting that the
Chicago proposal had found greatest favor with Rexford Tugwell (who
advocated a similar scheme to expand the postal savings system) and
Gardiner Means, both institutional economists and planners.
With the onset of severe erosion problems in a number of western states
in 1934, Agriculture Department attention focused on the immediate
concerns of conservation. As output fell prices of agricultural
products rose, thus further easing financial pressures on farmers.
Between 1932 and 1936, gross farm income increased fifty per cent, and
cash receipts from marketing, including government payments, nearly
doubled. The relative price of agricultural products rose as farm debt
decreased dramatically. Thus at a time when the economy was still
experiencing high unemployment, agriculture was beginning to recover
[Schlesinger 1958: 71]
In January 1934, Roosevelt sent a message to Congress asking for
legislation to organize a sound and adequate currency system. Roosevelt
requested that Congress enact legislation to vest in the United States
Government sole title to all American owned monetary gold and "other
monetary matters [which] would add to the convenience of handling
current problems in this field". FDR furthered indicated that the
Secretary of the Treasury was prepared to submit information concerning
changes to the appropriate committees of the Congress [Krooss 1969:
2791]. It was soon after FDR's address to Congress that there was direct
involvement by the Chicago group in the drafting of legislation to enact
the Chicago Plan for banking reform.
Legislating the Chicago Plan
Robert M Hutchins, the President of the University of Chicago, mailed a
copy of the November Chicago Plan to Senator Bronson Cutting of New
Mexico in December 1933. Cutting was a progressive Republican in the
mode of Robert LaFollette, Sr He was highly critical of the role of
private bankers in the economy and an advocate of greater government
involvement in banking and credit and national planning. As Schlesinger
has noted, this emphasis on planning and the role of government was very
much in line with New Dealer's such as Tugwell, Means, Adolph Berle, and
others [Schlesinger 1960: 389-391]. Cutting was one of the radicals in
the Senate, mostly old Progressives, which included: George Norris,
Robert La Follette, and Gerald P Nye, all Republicans, and Democrats
Burton K Wheeler of Montana, Edward P Costigan of Colorado and Homer
Bone of Washington, all of whom started as Progressive Republicans
[Schlesinger 1960: 134-5].
Cutting was quite interested in the Chicago proposal and largely in
agreement. He replied to Hutchins:
I may say at once that I agree decidedly with most of the views
expressed by the members of your faculty. I wonder if any of them has
considered the idea of drafting a bill embodying their views? I suspect
that Bob La Follette would be as much interested in this matter as I am,
and if we could get a draft in tangible shape, it would at least give us
something to shoot at [Cutting to Hutchins,
December 15 1933].
Hutchins replied "we'll set to work drafting a bill" [Hutchins to
Cutting, December 22 1933], however, in March 1934, Cutting wired
Hutchins inquiring about the status of the proposed bill [Cutting to
Hutchins, March 7 1934]. As a result, Henry Simons traveled to
Washington and met with Cutting on March 16 to discuss the essential
features of a bill [Simons to Cutting, March 10 1934; Cutting to Simons,
March 14 1934]. Simons did not feel that he was qualified to draft an
entire bill since he would not be familiar with many of its technical
features. His outline for a bill was given to Cutting and Senator
Robert La Follette, Jr. The actual bill was written by Robert H
Hemphill, a writer for the Hearst newspapers. {5}
To kick off the campaign for his bill, Cutting published an article in
the March 31 1934 issue of Liberty magazine entitled "Is Private Banking
Doomed?" Cutting's answer, of course, was that it was doomed by the New
Deal because government should control money and credit, without the
interference of private banks. Cutting remarked that unless the
administration introduced such legislation to deprive private bankers of
this power, that he would introduce such a measure [Cutting 1934: 10].
Banks could remain, in Cutting's view, if they held 100% reserves
against deposits, but they would not be allowed to create credit.
Cutting expected a battle against the bankers would not be easy, and
lamented FDR's failure to nationalize the banks in March 1933. Cutting
wrote:
The fight against the abolition of the credit power of private banks
will be a savage one, for their power as a unit is without equal in the
country. Knowing this is why I think back to the events of March 4
1933, with a sick heart. For then, with even the bankers thinking the
whole economic system had crashed to ruin, the nationalization of banks
by President Roosevelt could have been accomplished without a word of
protest. It was President Roosevelt's great mistake. Now the bankers
will make a mighty struggle [Cutting 1934: 12].
{5} "While in Washington, I prepared for Senators Cutting and LaFollette
a rough outline of some features of a possible bill. I am enclosing a
copy of this outline - although it is too crude for critical
examination." [Simons to Irving Fisher, March 29 1934] In a later letter
to Fisher, Simons wrote: "The Cutting Bill, for present purposes at
least, is much better than I had anticipated. It was written by Robert
Hemphill, of the Hearst staff and formerly with the Richmond (?) Reserve
Bank." [Simons to Fisher, July 4 1934]. Simons reluctance to become
more involved in the legislative battle apparently reflected his growing
reservations about "crucial details of the scheme as I had outlined it"
[Simons to Frank Taussig, November 12 1934].
On May 19 1934, Senator Cutting gave a speech to the People's Lobby in
which he announced his intention to introduce a bill to create a
national bank which would have a monopoly of credit and that private
bankers should not make profits from credit. Cutting was quoted as saying:
The bankers are collecting tribute from the community on the community's
credit ... Commercial banking and issuing of credit should be
exclusively a government function. Private financiers are not entitled
to any profit on credit [New York Times, May 20 1934, 32:1].
Business Week, noting that radical ideas for banking reform were
receiving wide support, wrote in reference to Cutting's remarks:
The fact that the more radical opinions are so widespread as to be
reflected in the House indicates that the banks have not resold
themselves to the public ... But unless the banks convince the people
the present system is best or unless business picks up markedly by the
start of 1935, Congress may go beyond the small changes of the deposits
insurance bill and alter the whole banking setup - despite the anguished
wails of established banks. [Business Week, June 2 1934, page 27]
The bill, S 3744, was introduced by Cutting and Congressman Wright
Patman of Texas (HR 9855) on June 6 1934 and had as its stated objective
to "provide an adequate and stable monetary system; to prevent bank
failures; to prevent uncontrolled inflation; to prevent depressions; to
provide a system to control the price of commodities and the purchasing
power of money; to restore normal prosperity and assure its
continuance". [US Congress 1934] To achieve these goals, the bill
proposed to (1) segregate demand from savings deposits; (2) require the
banks to keep 100% reserves against their demand deposits; (3) require
them to keep 5% reserves against their savings deposits; (4) set up a
Federal Monetary Authority with full control over the supply of
currency, the buying and selling of government securities, the gold
price of the dollar; (5) have the FMA take over enough of the bonds of
the banks to provide 100% reserve against their demand deposits; and (6)
have the FMA raise the price level to its 1926 position and keep it
there by buying and selling government bonds. {6} As a consequence of
this bill, the only money that would exist would be either currency
issued by the Federal Monetary Authority, or in demand deposits backed
100% by lawful money (gold) or government securities. The legislative
bill would retain squarely within the federal government the power given
to it in the Constitution to create money and maintain its value. This
bill would also achieve the other long-run New Deal objectives of
raising the price level and to strengthen government's influence on
economic activity, in this case, through monetary policy.
{6} For favorable comments on the bill from Canada, see S H Abramson "A
Proposal for Banking Reform", The Canadian Forum, October 1934.
Cutting, who shared Roosevelt's background as a graduate of Groton and
Harvard, and should have been a natural political ally, had alienated
Roosevelt over the issue of payment of the veteran's pensions. Cutting
had worked hard against Roosevelt's attempt to reduce veterans' pensions
[Schlesinger 1960: 140]. Whether warranted or not, Roosevelt personally
disliked Cutting, who was the only Progressive that Roosevelt failed to
endorse for reelection in 1934. There is little doubt that the
animosity between Roosevelt and Cutting would mean little likelihood of
administration support for Cutting's bill.
It is also clear that Cutting did not view the measure as one that would
be politically acceptable at the time, but it would help set the agenda.
He wrote:
The bill which I introduced is merely tentative, and there is no
intention of pressing it at the present session, when, you will
understand, passage would be impossible. I introduced it largely as a
target for criticisms and suggestions, such as yours [Cutting to E W
Mason, June 16 1934].
Robert Hemphill, who drafted the bill, was convinced that the 100%
reserve plan was the only real solution. In an article in the November
1934, Magazine of Wall Street, he stated that he knew of no valid
argument against the Cutting bill's reforms and in fact believed that
they were inevitable [Hemphill 1934: page 109]. Hemphill was optimistic
that the bill he had drafted for Cutting would play an important role in
the debates on banking reform and intended to garner wide support for
the plan. He wrote of its importance to Cutting:
I have a hunch this bill is going to inaugurate a prolonged battle which
you will finally win, and I regard this legislation as the most
important that has been offered in a century ... I am going to use every
effort and every avenue, and believe we can assemble a very powerful and
influential group behind this legislation. I am going to cable Mr
Hearst, and am sure he will get right in behind the movement, and am
also going to keep closely in touch with the Treasury and the study they
propose to make of this guestion this summer [Hemphill to Cutting, June
7 1934].
Hemphill's reference to the forthcoming Treasury study undoubtedly
reflected his view that the 100% reserve plan would be given serious
consideration. The studies undertaken during the summer and fall of
1934 by the Treasury formed the backbone research for the
Administration's version of the Banking Act of 1935. The studies were
undertaken in a context that sweeping reform of the system, especially
the Federal Reserve, was necessary and politically possible for the next
Congressional session. The November election results were very favorable
to the New Deal and FDR was in a strong position to complete the
overhauling of the banking system.
Cutting's bill served to put the Roosevelt administration on notice that
there were those in Congress prepared to take drastic and extreme
measures if the administration's reforms did not go far enough toward
complete government control of money and credit. The goal of the bill
was to correct the shortcomings of the Banking Act of 1933. The Act had
not addressed the problem of the availability of credit, nor had it
dealt with the issue of the Federal Reserve's control over the money
supply. The Cutting bill sought to make both the money supply and
credit availability subject to government control.
In 1934, the New York Fed, and therefore the New York banks, still held
substantial power with respect to monetary policy [Schlesinger 1960:
293]. Though the price level was rising in 1933-34, it was still about
thirty to forty per cent below the 1926 level. In October 1934 Roosevelt
made a speech to the bankers convention imploring them to aid the
recovery and begin making loans (FDR Public Papers, pages 435-440,
speech October 24 1934). There was clearly more to be done with respect
to banking reform in 1935.
The Banking Act of 1935
According to Rexford G Tugwell, an original member of FDR's Brain Trust,
the objectives for banking reform as they developed within the New Deal
were: (1) making deposits safe; (2) separating deposits from
investments so that bankers could not speculate with the depositors'
funds; (3) to raise and stabilize the price level; and (4) to strengthen
central management so that governmental influence could be brought to
bear on business activity [Tugwell 1957: 368]. As already discussed, the
Banking Act of 1933 addressed the first two objectives: deposit safety
and separation of deposit and investment banking. The remaining goals
were interconnected: centralize control of the monetary policy in
Washington, and undertake an expansionary policy to raise the price
level. As the legislative battle unfolded, the administration found
itself between the radicals and the Progressives who wanted complete
centralization and government control of money and credit, and Carter
Glass, one of the architects of the Federal Reserve Act, who was against
any changes in the Act.
The Administration strategy for the final phase of banking reform began
with studies directed under Jacob Viner. William Woodin was Roosevelt's
first Secretary of the Treasury, but when he resigned for health reasons
in November 1933, Roosevelt nominated an old friend, Henry Morgenthau,
to take his place. The appointment was confirmed in January 1934, and
soon afterward Morgenthau suggested to Jacob Viner, who was a special
assistant to the Secretary, that he assemble a group of the best minds
he could find in monetary, banking, and public finance, to see what they
could come up with. {7}
{7} Albert G Hart in a letter to Henry Simons encouraging wide
distribution in government of the Chicago proposal, noted: "Viner
complained to us this summer that before he went there (Treasury) he was
deluged with circulars on policy, but that there seemed to be a tabu
among economists against writing on policy to people who might
conceivably be in positions of some power" [Albert Hart to Henry Simons,
December 9 1934].
The group would include Viner, four senior staff, four junior research
staff, and clerical and secretarial staff. On June 27 1934, Secretary
Morgenthau announced that the Treasury was undertaking a number of
studies in preparation for next year's legislative program in the areas
of currency and banking and taxation and revenue [Treasury Department
Press Release, June 27th 1934]. Those temporarily employed by the
Treasury to work on the
Monetary and Banking Survey studies were: Lauchlin Currie, Harry D.
White, Albert G Hart, Benjamin Caplan, Virginius F Coe, and Edward C
Simmons. {8} It is important to note, that two of this group, Currie
and Hart were already known advocates of the 100% reserve plan, while
Viner appears to have been at least strongly sympathetic.
{8} The reports were: Edward C Simmons, "The Currency System"; Benjamin
Caplan, "Branch Banking"; A G Hart, "Federal Credit Institutions";
Lauchlin Currie, "Monetary Control in the United States" and "Deposit
Insurance"; Alan R Sweezy, "Objectives and Criteria of Monetary Policy";
H D White, "Selection of a Monetary Standard for the United States"; and
H W Riley, "Bank Examinations and Bank Reports". [Mrs Belsley to Mr
Viner, Inter Office Communication, Department of Treasury, December 20
1934, FDR Library, Morgenthau Papers, Correspondence, Box 301, File
Viner 1933-34]
In his book, The Supply and Control of Money in the United States
(1934), Currie presented a model of the money supply mechanism in which
the major source of variation in the money supply was the level of
excess reserves, while the Federal Reserve's primary means of control of
the money supply was the level of required reserves [Steindl 1992:
452-3]. At the time Currie wrote, the Federal Reserve did not have the
power to change reserve requirements. The Federal Reserve actions were
firmly grounded in the "real bills doctrine". The Fed was allowed to
discount only real bills, and thus its monetary policy was pro-cyclical.
Currie saw this as a major limiting factor in effective monetary
control. Currie then went on to discuss the "ideal conditions" for
monetary, control which he argued was a system with 100% reserve
requirements on demand deposits. {9} In a footnote in his book, Currie
stated that Albert Hart had brought the Chicago proposal to his
attention after the book had gone to press [Currie 1968: 156].
{9} In his book The Supply and Control of Money in the United States,
and stated in a footnote that he learned of the Chicago proposal after
he had written his book [Currie 1934: 156]. Simons greatly admired
Currie's book on the supply of money and reviewed it in the Journal of
Political Economy. In a letter from Simons to Fisher, Simons says: "I'm
interested in your mentioning the Currie book. It's the only book on
banking, and almost the only decent book in American economics, which
makes me genuinely envious of the author for having written it." [Simons
to Fisher, November 9 1934]
In September 1934, Lauchlin Currie submitted a comprehensive proposal
for monetary reform to the Secretary of the Treasury Henry Morgenthau.
The fundamental faulty working of the monetary system Currie attributed
to the unsatisfactory nature of the compromise between private creation
of money with governmental control [Currie 1968: 197].
Currie did not provide an elaborate theoretical rationale, as the
Chicago economists had in their appendix on "Banking and Business
Cycles", but rather noted that the monetary system had been acting as a
"maladjustment-intensifying factor" due to the "unsatisfactory nature of
the compromise of private creation of money with government control"
[Currie 1968: 197].
Currie proposed that the reserve ratio for checkable deposits be 100%,
for non-checkable deposits 0%, and an end to interbank deposits unless
subject to 100% reserves. During the transition to the new system,
Currie sought to insure that banks would not see a loss of income with
the increase in the reserve reguirements. When the new policy was
announced, banks would initially meet the 100%
requirement with a non-interest bearing note from the Reserve banks.
This note might be left outstanding indefinitely, or only retired upon
suspension or merging of the bank. Alternatively, the debt might be
retired over a period of time from five to twenty years by the member
banks turning over to the reserve banks Government bonds. [Currie 1968:
ZOO-2013] Any excess reserves held at the time of the imposition of
100% reserves may be loaned out, but there will be no multiplier effect
because of the 100% reserve requirement. [Currie 1968: 202] Assuming the
reserve ratio was initially fifteen per cent, once the 100% reserve
policy goes into effect, a typical balance sheet might look as follows:
ASSETS:
Required Reserves.......100
Excess Reserves...........0
Loans....................85
LIABILITIES:
Checkable Deposits......100
Note payable to Fed......85
There would be no impact on the current earning capacity of the bank,
nor would there be a significant increase in expenses, since the note
payable to the Fed would be non-interest bearing and with negligible
transactions costs. However, if banks experienced an increase in
deposits, say in the amount of ten, then under 100% reserves, they could
not acquire any earning assets. Currie proposed that under these
circumstances banks be paid interest on that portion of the addition to
reserves that could have been loaned out under the fractional reserve
system. Thus for example, if deposits increased by ten, Currie would
propose that interest be paid to the banks by the Reserve banks on 8.5
of the addition to reserves. The interest rate paid would be that on
specified government bonds. [Currie 1968: 202] Of course, if deposits
declined, then the process is reversed and banks would pay the Reserve
banks a comparable amount.
If it is decided that banks must repay the Fed loans made at the time of
the implementation of the 100% reserve system, the interest earned on
those bonds would be paid to the commercial banks. Again, there would be
no impact on the current income/expense situation of the bank. However,
once those initial loans are repaid, banks could no longer acquire
earning assets by selling checkable deposits. As a final policy
recommendation, Currie proposed that banks be allowed to make service
charges for their checkable accounts to avoid incurring a loss. [Currie
1968: 204]
In the event that the implementation of the 100% reserve plan created a
shortage of loanable funds in a particular area, then the Reconstruction
Finance Corporation (RFC) would be empowered to subscribe to the capital
of local loaning agencies, to make secured loans, or to establish
loaning agencies [Currie 1968: 219].
Currie's views are important, because he was soon to become intimately
involved with drafting the administration version of the Banking Act of
1935. The key figure in the administration's strategy for banking
reform in 1935 was Marriner Eccles, a Morman banker who had impressed
Tugwell and Henry Morgenthau, and had been brought to Washington in
early 1934 to work in the Treasury Department. It was Morgenthau who
suggested to Roosevelt that Eccles who [sic] be the perfect choice as
the head of a restructured Federal Reserve System.
Eccles agreed to take the job if certain changes were made to enhance
the power of the Federal Reserve Board and therefore reduce the power of
the regional banks. Roosevelt agreed and Eccles, along with Lauchlin
Currie, prepared a memorandum for Roosevelt with their desirable reforms
in the Federal Reserve System [Eccles 1951: 166]. The central concern
of the memorandum was the Federal Reserve's ability to monetary
aggregates, precisely the problems Currie had addressed in his book.
Eccles are shared the view that the real bills constraint on the Federal
Reserve was absolutely the crucial constraint on any attempt to
undertake an appropriate monetary policy. The memorandum was drafted by
Currie and generally reflected his views on the problems of controlling
the money supply. Sandilands notes that one point was added by Eccles
that he considered important, but Currie was less interested in. Eccles
thought that an extension of bank assets available for rediscount by the
Fed was vital. This point boiled down to the substitution of "sound
assets" for the Federal Reserve Act's "eligible paper". The significance
of this is that it would allow banks to continue making long term loans,
but at the same time provide some incentive to assure the quality of
those loans since such loans could potentially be available for
rediscount in the event of a run on the bank [Eccles 1951: 173;
Sandilands 1990: 63].
Though Eccles appointment was announced in late 1934, he was not
confirmed until April 1935. Roosevelt, in selecting Eccles, had not
conferred with Carter Glass, Chairman of the Senate banking committee.
Glass was a powerful senator and a Jacksonian Democrat who feared
increased centralization of government. Glass held up the confirmation
of Eccles and in the end was not present when the Committee voted to
confirm him and Glass was lone dissenting vote when the matter was voted
on by the entire Senate. The sometimes strained and confrontational
relationship between Eccles and Glass undoubtedly had an impact on the
ability of the administration to get its bill passed. Eccles himself
recognized this in his memoirs [Eccles 1951: 177-181; Schlesinger 1960:
291-301].
With the Eccles and Currie move to the Federal Reserve in late 1934, the
impetus for banking reform shifted to the Federal Reserve. A
Legislative Committee was formed composed of E A Goldenweiser, Chester
Morrill, Walter Wyatt, and Lauchlin Currie. The plan of action was to
have the Committee's report sent to the Federal Reserve Board, to the
FDIC, the Comptroller of the Currency, to Morgenthau at Treasury, to
Roosevelt, and finally presented in Congress [Eccles 1951: 193].
Eccles, though respected by bankers and businessman, had never been to
college and found it difficult to formalize his ideas in writing.
Currie, on the other hand, had written for both academic and nonacademic
audiences [Sandilands 1990: 62], The actual writing of the Banking Act
of 1935 was left largely to Currie with substantial input from Eccles on
the ideas to be incorporated in the bill [Sandilands 1990: 64].
The important amendments to the Federal Reserve Act which were contained
in the so-called Eccles bill on banking reform were with regard to the
makeup of the Federal Reserve Board (section 4), expansion of assets
which could be discounted by the Fed (section 13), legal tender status
for Federal Reserve notes (section 6), and power to change reserve
requirements (section 19). In amending section 19 of the Federal
Reserve Act with regard to reserve requirements, Section 209 of Title II
of the bill stated:
Notwithstanding the other provisions of this section, the Federal
Reserve Board, in order to prevent injurious credit expansion or
contraction, may by regulation change the requirements as to reserves to
be maintained against demand or time deposits or both by member banks in
any or all Federal Reserve districts and/or any or all of the three
classes of cities referred to above.
In line with his Treasury proposal for reform, according to Sandilands,
Currie intended that the Board be given unlimited power to alter reserve
requirements with the view of eventually raising them to 100%
[Sandilands 1990: 66].
The Administration bill was introduced by Senator Duncan Fletcher in the
Senate (S 1715) and Congressman Steagall in the House (HR 5357) on
February 5 1935. Title I of the bill made Federal Deposit Insurance
permanent, Title II contained amendments to the Federal Reserve Act, and
Title III included technical amendments. The debate over the bill
centered on Title II which sought to give greater powers to a revised
Federal Reserve Board whose members would be appointed by the President.
Senator Carter Glass denounced the Eccles's bill as the most dangerous
and unwarranted measure of the entire New Deal [Sandilands 1990: 64].
On March 4, Senator Fletcher asked to have a statement by Frank
Vanderlip on Senate bill 1715 read into the Congressional Record.
Vanderlip pointed out that in a country with a highly developed banking
system, the volume of purchasing medium included not only currency but
the volume of bank credit turned into bank deposits. He noted: "This
principle is recognized in the bill, and an effective means for the
control of the volume of bank credit is set up in section 209
[Congressional Record, 1934: 2820]. Vanderlip believed that these
powers were necessary in order to regulate the value of the currency,
but that Congress should define its objective in exercising the power to
regulate the value of currency. Further, he states, "Congress must
itself designate the price level which it desires to establish and
maintain". Finally, he said:
The regulation of the value of currency is not properly a banking
function. It has, in fact, far too long remained a banking prerogative.
There should be clear differentiation between the business of granting
bank credits and the fundamentally important policy of regulating the
value of currency [ibid].
Also on March 4, Senator Cutting reintroduced his bill to create a
Federal Monetary Authority and require 100% reserve banking [S. 2204].
Just a few days before, the New York Herald Tribune ran an article
entitled: "Many Withhold Opposition to Present Banking Bill Lest
Legislators Put Forward Measure Requiring 100% Reserves for Demand
Deposits" [New York Herald Tribune on February 25 1935, page 41] The
article stated that many on Wall Street, though opposed to Title II of
the bill, were reluctant to voice their opposition. The fear was that a
"worse bill" would be put forward which "might be a bill embodying the
theories of that group advocating 100 per cent reserves for demand
deposits". The article went on to note that the plan had gained wide
academic support. Though no one in the Administration had gone on record
in support of the plan, the paper noted that "should there be a
resurgence of New Dealism the 100 per cent reserve scheme might possibly
get some attention in the high quarters". Though some might view the
proposed bill as radical, according to the Tribune article, "Compared
with the 100 per cent reserve plan, it will be seen, the banking act of
1935 is weak tea" [New York Herald Tribune on February 25 1935, page 41].
A revised version of-the Banking Act of 1935 was introduced on April 19
1935 by Congressman Steagall (HR 7617). The version introduced by
Steagall included section 209 unchanged from the earlier version.
Fletcher, as Chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, was deluged with
letters opposing Title II of the proposed Banking Act of 1935 (HR 5357
and S 1715). In a statement read into the Congressional Record,
Fletcher asserted that the changes in the Federal Reserve System
embodied in Title II did not "involve a radical change in the present
powers and functions of the Federal Reserve Board and the Federal
Reserve System as it is now constituted" [Congressional Record, April 22
1935, page 6103]. He explicitly stated that this applied unequivocally
to section 209 granting the Board the power to change reserve
requirements. Fletcher was clearly concerned that the banking system
remained subject to wild fluctuations as a result of bankers influence
on the creation and destruction of credit. He stated:
It is common knowledge, however, that there now lies within the hands of
bankers the potential makings for one of the most stupendous inflations
this or any other Nation has ever experienced. And experience teaches us
that banker control of monetary policy will probably give us an equally
devastating financial whirlwind when that bubble is pricked
[Congressional Record, April 22 1935, page 6104].
In May, Eccles testified that the most effective way to achieve the
goals of centralization, without undue political influence or banker
influence, would be to have outright ownership of the Federal Reserve
banks [Schlesinger 1960: 299]. Though not advocated by Currie, it was
part of the Chicago Plan for banking reform.
A significant blow to the Chicago Plan came in May when Senator Bronson
Cutting died in an airplane crash. Cutting's reelection in 1934 turned
out to be a very dirty campaign, with the actively opposing him. After
Cutting emerged as the apparent victor over Dennis Chavez by slightly
over one thousand votes, the election results, with Roosevelt
administration approval, were contested. In was during a trip back to
New Mexico to get affidavits in connection with the contested election
that Cutting's plane crashed in Missouri. Schlesinger reports that some
of the Progressives blamed Roosevelt for Cutting's death [Schlesinger
1960: 140-1].
Currie was optimistic that a banking bill would be passed which would
include what he viewed as the crucial reforms. Currie wrote to Viner:
The prospects for the banking bill are looking better all the time. You
may have noticed that I got my objective in the bill as reported by the
House Committee. I admit that the word "unstabilizing" in it is not
elegant, but I couldn't think of a good synonym. I know that you will
derive an enormous amount of comfort out of the assurance that we will
have perfect stability in the future [Currie to Viner, May 3 1935].
The bill passed easily in the House in early May, where Alan
Goldsborough had assumed responsibility for Title II, and then went to
the Senate where hearings were held [Burns 1974: 169]. In the House, the
only significant amendments were Alan Goldsborough's proposals to create
a Federal Monetary Authority along the lines presented by Cutting and to
mandate an explicitly declared policy of the United States to restore
the average purchasing power of the dollar to level of the period
1921-1929 [Leuchtenburg 1963: 159; Burns 1974: 130]. After this
restoration, the purchasing power of the dollar would be maintained
substantially stable in relation to a suitable index of basic commodity
prices [Congressional Record, May 8 1935: 7163]. The amendment was
defeated by a vote of 128 to 122 [Congressional Record, May 8 1935: 7185].
The last attempt to explicitly introduce 100% reserves in the Senate as
part of the overhaul of the Federal Reserve System came on July 25th
when Senator Nye .of North Dakota introduced a substitute for Title II
of HR 7617 (the revised Banking Act of 1935). The amendment embodied
most of the Cutting bill (S 2204) introduced in March. In addition to
the 100% reserves and the creation of a central monetary authority,
price stabilization was also included, as it had been in the original
Cutting bill outlined by Simons. The amendment was defeated on a vote of
ten yes, 59 no, and 27 not voting [Congressional Record, July 25-26
1935, pages 11842-11906]. Roosevelt signed the Banking Act of 1935 into
law on August 22 1935, and established the basic framework of the
financial system which continues today.
Glass set out to rewrite HR 7617 to remove those elements which he
thought increased unduly the government's role. As an example, the
final version of the Banking Act of 1935 limited the Fed's ability to
change reserve requirements by adding the following to section 209:
but the amount of the reserves required to be maintained by any such
member bank as a result of any such change shall not be less than the
amount of the reserves required by law to be maintained by such bank on
the bank of enactment of the Banking Act of 1935 nor more than twice
such amount [Section 207 of HR 7617].
This effectively prohibited any move to raise reserve requirements to
100%. {10} Glass also had removed a statement which mandated the
government to "promote conditions conducive to business stability" in so
far as it was possible with the "scope of monetary action and credit
administration" [Egbert 1967: 152].
{10} As an historical note, on August 16 1948, in a Joint Resolution of
Congress (SJ Res No 157, 80th Congress, 2nd session., the Banking Act of
1935 was temporarily amended (1) in order to prevent injurious credit
expansion; (2) raised the limit on time deposit reserves to a maximum of
7 1/2 per cent, and the maximum reserves against demand deposits in
central reserve cities to thirty per cent [Krooss 1969: 2999-3000].
The increased reserve requirements of the resolution expired on June 30
1949.
As the debate on the bill came to a close, Senator Glass in remarks to
remarks to the Senate stated:
I may say that repeated references to the bill as an administration bill
have no justification whatsoever. It is not an administration bill. The
President of the United States has never read a word of it, unless he
has done so very recently. The Secretary of the Treasury is on record in
the printed hearings of the Appropriations Committee as saying that he
had not read it. Every member, except one, of the Federal Reserve Board
testified before the committee that he had not seen the bill until it
was introduced and printed ... I speak of it simply as the Eccles bill,
because nobody, with a single exception, who appeared before the Banking
and Currency Committee of the House or of the Senate has advocated this
bill [Congressional Record, July 25 1935: 11824].
When asked if he was referring to Title II, Glass said "Yes; only to
title II".
Despite Glass's later boast that "We did not leave enough of the Eccles
bill with which to light a cigarette", the bill provided for a
significant shift toward centralization of monetary policy and thus
achieved what Currie believed to be a necessary reform if monetary
policy was to be effective [Leuchtenburg 1963: 160]. The administration
had achieved its goal of enhancing the Federal Reserve's ability to
manage the money supply, and therefore, hopefully the economy
[Schlesinger 1960: 301].
Conclusion
The Chicago Plan for radical banking was well known at the highest
levels of government during the period 1933-35 and, though the plan
called for radical changes, the early New Deal probably offered the best
chance for radical reforms to be undertaken. The question is thus why
did the Chicago Plan lose out?
The answer, on one level, should be of no surprise: it lost as a matter
of pure political expediency. It is important to note that it did not
lose because the principles of the plan were rejected. In fact, the
banking legislation passed during the period moved in part toward the
Chicago Plan reforms. Tugwell thought that radical reform seemed like
such a remote possibility, that Roosevelt abandoned any such attempts
and opted for "simple restoration of a system people understood under
conditions which would assure them of future safety" [Tugwell 1957: 264].
The Banking Act of 1933 was successful in restoring confidence in the
banking system. It did so by institutionalizing Federal Deposit
Insurance and by the separation of commercial and investment banking.
By 1935, few politicians opposed doing away with deposit insurance. The
economy did not recover fully in 1934, and the administration was
convinced that it was due to a lack of centralized control over monetary
policy. Given the determined resistance of Carter Glass, the
administration got as much as it could in the Banking Act of 1935 in the
way of enhanced Federal Reserve Board control. The Chicago Plan played
a role here by being viewed as an extreme position, and therefore
bolstered the administration bill.
The key player for the administration appears to be Lauchlin Currie, who
though an advocate of 100% reserves, sought to achieve measures that
would be politically acceptable. In doing so, he compromised on the
100% reserve goal, and in the end, his compromise prohibited any
possibility that such reform could be achieved in the future.
There is evidence that Currie believed that Hemphill and Fisher were
politically naive. In his unpublished memoirs, Currie, reflecting on the
battle over the Banking Act of 1935, says: "An adviser in Washington is
of limited usefulness unless he acquires some sense of what is feasible
and how projects and policies should be presented to have the best
chance of being adopted" [Sandilands 1991: 65]. In a letter to Viner
written in early 1935, Currie stated:
You will be tickled by Hemphill's childlike naivete in suggesting that
instead of his bill being introduced and then sent to the Board for
comments it would save time if we drafted the bill together at the
Board! I pointed out that such a procedure would make his bill in effect
an administration measure, and he said very seriously he would not
mind that! [Currie to Viner January 18 1935]
The fact that the Chicago Plan was supported by the early New Deal
planners, and then by the Progressives, though it may have helped the
administration, at the same time reduced the possibility that the
legislation would have been passed. However, there were attempts,
especially after Cutting's death, to create both a Federal Monetary
Authority, reflation, and price-level stabilization. This indicates that
support for the ideas embodied in the plan went beyond the radical and
Progressive members of Congress.
Roosevelt came into office with the intent of restoring the safety of
the banks and increasing government control over monetary policy. The
legislation passed during the period 1933-35 gave Roosevelt most of what
he wanted: safety of the payments system, separation of commercial and
investment banking, and enhanced control over monetary policy by a
reconstituted Federal Reserve. Safety of the bank deposits came at the
price of a system of contingent liabilities with inherent problems which
all came to a head decades later. The separation of commercial and
investment banking eliminated the problem of banks using depositors
funds to speculate in the stock market, but it did not prevent banks
from making risky loans.
Still, the legislation passed in the early New Deal must be viewed as a
success as judged by the fact that little change was made in the system
for nearly fifty years. Though passage of the Chicago Plan might have
advocated the large scale bailouts of financial institutions we are
seeing today, there is no guarantee that it would have been equally
successful.
The Chicago Plan without an appropriate transition period could have
worsened the credit crunch. The crucial action would have been the
supplanting of fractional reserve bank credit with the credit of new
investment trusts, and if necessary, credit supplied by the RFC. One
possible evolution could have been the complete socialization of
investment as Bronson Cutting and others advocated.
Control of M-1 could have accelerated the expansion of money substitutes
and deposit banking could have been reborn, perhaps in a relatively
short period of time. However, one response to this is that technology
seems to have driven the developments of near monies in recent years and
it is unlikely that 100% reserve banking could have affected the
development of computers which, as we have seen in recent years, enable
the creation of financial assets which would have been technologically
impossible in the past.
The problems we face today are in large part a direct result of the
programs that were implemented during the early New Deal. The first and
most obvious is federal deposit insurance. The amount of money
necessary to pay off all depositors is unknown. We have done nothing to
fundamentally change the situation. Even modest reforms to limit the
amount of federal deposit insurance have been difficult to implement.
The 100% reserve idea did not disappear after the passage of the Banking
Act of 1935, in fact, Irving Fisher spent the remainder of his life
lobbying Congress and the public on the need for 100% reserves [Allen
1991]. It is also not surprising that in recent years, we have seen the
emergence of "narrow banking" or "core banking" proposals which are in
the tradition of the 100% reserve plan. If we are ever again faced with
economic, and particularly financial, problems on the level of the Great
Depression, the clamor for the separation of the depository and lending
functions of banks may reappear.
It is also clear that the Federal Reserve can do little to cajole banks
into lending when they do not wish to do so. What we are seeing is banks
buying more government debt, which is available today on a scale far
beyond the 1930s. The Federal Reserve can effectively restrain activity
during a boom, but during a business downturn can do little to stimulate
the economy beyond cutting interest rates to historically low levels.
This is precisely the situation we face today.
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Endnote
The text of the letter reads as follows:
During the past week, we have tried to formulate and agree upon a
specific program which would provide, both for emergency relief, and for
permanent banking reform. The results of this effort are contained in
the five-page statement which we enclose. This document is strictly for
your private use; and we request that every precaution be taken against
mention of it in the press.
The program defined in the statement is one which we believe to be
sound, even ideal, in principle. What its merits may be, in the light of
political consideration, we frankly do not know. We are sensitive,
moreover, of an obligation not to broadcast publicly any statement which
might impair confidence in Administration measures, or impair their
chances of successful operation.
On the other hand, we feel that our statement may deserve thoughtful
consideration, among people of interests like our own; also, that it may
suggest measures which might usefully be incorporated in other, and
perhaps less impractical, schemes. Moreover, most of us suspect that
measures at least as drastic and "dangerous" as those described in our
statement can hardly be avoided, except temporarily, in any event.
Please feel free to use the document in any manner consistent with
complete avoidance of newspaper publicity. If you feel disposed to send
us your comments, favorable and adverse, upon the proposals, we shall be
grateful indeed for your cooperation. Communications may be addressed to
any member of the group.
_____
The Jerome Levy Economics Institute of Bard College
Post Office Box 5000
Annandale-on-Hudson, New York 12504
Work 914-758-7448
Fax 9 14-758-1 149
Home 914-758-5299
Internet: phillips at levy.bard.edu
http://www.levy.org/pubs/wp76.pdf
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