[R-G] What if the Obama Administration Treated Detroit like Wall Street?
Sid Shniad
shniad at sfu.ca
Fri Apr 3 11:34:18 MDT 2009
April 1, 2009
What if the Obama Administration Treated Detroit like Wall Street?
Why the tough love for Detroit and kid gloves for Wall Street? Wall Street has bought its gentle treatment through a long-term investment in Washington
By Robert Weissman
What if the Obama administration treated the auto industry like Wall Street?
There'd be no talk of potential bankruptcy, no firing of executives, no
demands to shed failing subsidiaries, no demands for honest accounting,
no insistence that creditors share some of the companies' pain. And we
certainly wouldn't hear about re-writing contracts, heretofore described
as sacrosanct.
Instead, we'd be hearing about a scheme to get private sector players
"now sitting on the sidelines" to invest in absorbing the auto
industry's excess capacity.
We'd see the Treasury Department announcing a Public-Private Investment
Plan to tap hedge funds' pools of capital and expertise to create demand
for autos that GM and Chrysler could manufacture but are presently
unable to sell at a satisfactory price. These excess cars would be
called "legacy assets" (the euphemism for failing mortgage-related
securities, more widely called "toxic").
If the plan really paralleled Treasury Secretary's Timothy Geithner's
proposal for dealing with Wall Street's toxic assets, it would
"incentivize" the hedge funds to buy up hundreds of thousands or
millions of cars, and hold them for later sale, when the overall economy
improves. The idea would be that the private investors may be willing to
pay a price below the list price, but above the price at which GM and
Chrysler could actually sell their excess cars right now -- a price high
enough to help GM and Chrysler.
What would be the incentive for the private investors to take this
gamble? The government would offer to contribute $13 for every dollar
contributed by the hedge funds. Thus, an investor could spend $1 billion
to buy cars -- bought well below sticker price -- while paying only $71
million out of pocket.
With that kind of deal, it's possible the private investors would pay
enough to help GM and Chrysler. In doing so, they would be taking on
enormous risk -- they would be betting that they someday could sell the
cars for more than $1 billion -- but if they couldn't … well, taxpayers
would bear all of the losses except for the $71 million.
Does this sound crazy?
It is.
The Treasury plan for the banks' toxic assets is impossibly complex, but
its core feature is a massive, disguised taxpayer subsidy to Wall Street
(Jeffrey Sachs of Columbia University roughly estimates the giveaway
component as $276 billion, based on realistic assumptions about the
risks embedded in buying the assets).
The Geithner plan for the banks contrasts starkly with the very tough
and hard-headed approach taken by the Obama administration to the
automakers.
The administration's response to the automakers is deeply flawed. It
should be faulted for continuing to demand still-more givebacks from
unionized workers; for focusing too much on short-to-medium term results
and not enough on investments in fuel efficiency and transformative
technologies; and for threatening the use of bankruptcy, a move which
would undermine efforts to direct the companies to major investments in
R&D and sustainable technologies. These are very major problems.
But the overall approach is right in asserting: If the taxpayers are
going to provide tens of billions in supports, then they have the right
to make demands on the beneficiaries. They should demand the firing of
CEOs who drove firms into insolvency. They should demand specific plans
for transformation. They should demand creditors accept some of the cost
of insolvency.
Why the tough love for Detroit and kid gloves for Wall Street? You can
make up whatever story you like about the systemic importance of the
financial sector as compared to auto manufacturing, but it is utterly
uncompelling -- especially as we move out of the phase of acute crisis
and into chronic economic downturn.
There's just no escaping that Wall Street has bought its gentle
treatment through a long-term investment in Washington, the effect of
which goes far beyond any specific policy. At the Treasury Department,
they understand the point of view of Wall Street -- there is a unity of
culture between top officials at Treasury and Wall Street, not least
because the decision makers at Treasury so often come from Wall Street.
Treasury Department officials can't imagine themselves in the shoes of
auto executives, let alone auto workers.
The administration's plan for the auto industry is deeply flawed, but at
least it has the right attitude. Quick consideration of what it would
like if the government treated Detroit like Wall Street shows how
ridiculous the idea is.
What everyone should be asking is, What would it look like if the
government treated Wall Street like Detroit? And, why isn't that happening?
Robert Weissman is editor of the Washington, D.C.-based Multinational
Monitor, <http://www.multinationalmonitor.org> and director of Essential
Action <http://www.essentialaction.org>.
(c) Robert Weissman
This article is posted at: http://lists.essential.org/pipermail/corp-focus/2009/000315.html
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