[R-G] Sunni Insurgents Exploit U.S.-Sponsored Militias
Anthony Fenton
fentona at shaw.ca
Mon Mar 3 20:10:45 MST 2008
POLITICS: Sunni Insurgents Exploit U.S.-Sponsored Militias
Analysis by Gareth Porter*
http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=41436
WASHINGTON, Mar 3 (IPS) - For months, U.S. President George W. Bush
and Gen. David Petraeus have been touting the programme of recruiting
tens of thousands of Sunnis into U.S.-financed "Awakening Councils"
as a master stroke of Iraq strategy which has weakened al Qaeda in
Iraq and helps reduce sectarian conflict through "bottom up
reconciliation".
But the mainstream Sunni insurgents who have been fighting al Qaeda
appear to have outmaneuvered U.S. strategists by using Awakening
Councils to pursue their interests in weakening their most immediate
enemy, reducing pressures from the U.S. military and establishing new
political bases, while continuing to mount attacks on U.S. and Iraqi
government forces.
The biggest question surrounding the strategy from the beginning was
whether it the Awakening Councils -- called "Sahwa" in Arabic --
would be a haven for Sunni insurgents.
High-ranking U.S. officers issued public assurances last year that
former insurgents would not be allowed to enter the programme, but
last month, Iraqi government officials, including Prime Minister
Nouri al-Maliki, began raising the spectre of "infiltration" of the
Awakening groups by al Qaeda or "Baathists". Those are terms which
have often been used by Shiite leaders to refer to the mainstream
Sunni insurgents.
The U.S. command responded by denying that they have been infiltrated
systematically by either al Qaeda or other "extremists". At a Feb. 17
press briefing, Rear Adm. Gregory Smith admitted that individual
extremists may have infiltrated some units, but rejected the idea
that any "complete unit" of the Awakening had gone "bad".
Nevertheless, by the end of 2007 it had become clear the Sahwa were
dominated in many places by the Sunni insurgent groups, and U.S.
specialists were openly acknowledging it. The 1920 Revolution
Brigades, a major Sunni armed resistance organisation, is the primary
element in the Sahwa in Diyala Province as well as in parts of Anbar
Province. One commander of the Brigades, Abu Marouf, brought 13,000
of his fighters into the Sahwa in Anbar. His background as an
insurgent commander is well-known locally but has never been
acknowledged by U.S. officials.
Meanwhile, the 1920 Revolution Brigades also continues to wage war
against U.S. forces. In March 2007, it announced the creation of two
separate military "corps", one of which, the "Iraqi Hamas", was
clearly intended to continue military operations against the U.S.
military in Diyala and other Sunni provinces.
The 1920 Revolution Brigades did not join a new "political council of
the Iraqi resistance" formed in October to unify the Sunni armed
organisations fighting the U.S. occupation -- at least in its own
name. But the Iraqi Hamas "wing" of the organisation, which continues
to be affiliated with the parent organisation, did join the new council.
The de facto security force in Amiriya district of Baghdad is under
the command of Abu Abed, a former Iraqi army captain who led a unit
of another major resistance organisation, the Islamic Army of Iraq
(IAI). He claims that the local Sahwa is drawn from both IAI and the
1920 Revolution Brigades. The IAI has distanced itself from Abu Abed,
at least publicly, but that move should be understood in light of the
great reluctance of Sunni armed organisations to admit that they are
cooperating overtly with institutions associated with the United States.
A recent incident in which U.S. troops killed or detained members of
the Sahwa during operations against insurgents suggested that the
line separating the Sunni insurgents targeted by the U.S. military
and the Sunnis working with the U.S. military was nonexistent.
On Feb. 13, U.S. forces carried out an attack on an insurgent target
west of Kirkuk, killing six insurgents and detaining 15. But members
of the local Awakening Council complained that the six people killed
and some of those detained were members of the Sahwa.
One of those detained was the head of the local 700-hundred-member
Sahwa and leader of the Baghzawi tribe.
Col. Martin Stanton, who is in charge of reconciliation and
engagement for the Multinational Corps-Iraq, acknowledged to the New
York Times last December that the Awakening Council members came from
the Sunni insurgency.
He described the Sunnis who joined the U.S. paramilitary groups as
having been "hammered" by both al Qaeda and the United States.
Stanton suggested that joining the Awakening groups was "probably a
distasteful choice" for them, "because, after all, they viewed us as
invaders, and they probably still do, but it was a survival choice
and they made it."
Stanton had told investigative journalist Spencer Ackerman in
November that the participants in the Awakening groups hadn't made "a
fundamental break" with the insurgency.
Participation in the Sahwa appears to serve the interests of
mainstream Sunni insurgent organisations at multiple levels. It has
isolated al Qaeda's "Islamic State of Iraq" (ISI) and associated
jihadist groups, which in turn causes some guerrillas factions to
come back to the mainstream insurgency.
It also may have reduced U.S. military pressures on the Sunni
nationalist insurgents. As the lines between pro-ISI and anti-ISI
Sunni insurgents have hardened during 2007, U.S. military operations
have apparently focused more on ISI and the insurgents aligned with
it and less on the mainstream insurgents fighting against al Qaeda.
The U.S. command in Iraq provides no data indicating how many of its
operations are directed at each of its adversaries. But Dan Gouré,
vice president of the Lexington Institute, a conservative Virginia
think tank, told IPS he estimates that the U.S. military command in
Iraq has been targeting ISI in 60 percent of its operations and other
Sunni insurgents in 30 percent of them. The other 10 percent, he
says, are focused on the Shiite Mahdi Army.
Insurgents are still mounting about 700 improvised explosive device
(IED) attacks every month, according to the latest statistics issued
by the U.S. command. Although they are not broken down by source, the
vast majority are certainly carried out by the same Sunni insurgent
organisations that fight al Qaeda and have contributed tens of
thousands of men to the Sahwa.
Participating in the Sahwa also gives insurgent groups a new semi-
legal political base. When the rape and murder of two Sunni women,
allegedly by Shiite militiamen, provoked Sunni protests in Baquba
against the government earlier this month, hundreds of 1920
Revolution Brigades fighters belonging to the Sahwa demonstrated to
demand the dismissal of the provincial police chief. The
organisation's spokesman in Baquba said they would "take up arms"
against the police and U.S. troops if their demands were not met, as
reported by IPS Feb. 13.
One U.S. colonel with long experience in Iraq told Lt. Col. Douglas
McGregor (Army ret.), a senior fellow at the Straus Military Reform
Project, that the Sunni insurgents' participation in the Sahwa may be
a transitory stage in a "fight, bargain, subvert, fight approach" to
achieving their long-term aims, as McGregor testified before a
subcommittee of the House Foreign Affairs Committee Feb. 8.
Those aims include the complete withdrawal of U.S. occupation forces
and reducing the power of a Shiite-dominated government they believe
represents Iranian interests in Iraq.
The Sunni insurgent strategy of flooding the U.S.-sponsored
paramilitary forces with their own fighters appears to make the Sunni
insurgency stronger than ever. Far from being a device for "bottom up
reconciliation", the Awakening Councils have added powder to the
powder keg of Sunni-Shiite tensions.
*Gareth Porter is an historian and national security policy analyst.
The paperback edition of his latest book, "Perils of Dominance:
Imbalance of Power and the Road to War in Vietnam", was published in
2006.
(END/2008)
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