[R-G] UN warns of unrest as food price inflation hits developing countries
Richard Menec
menecraj at shaw.ca
Sat Sep 8 20:21:21 MDT 2007
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/821913e0-5cdb-11dc-9cc9-0000779fd2ac.html
Financial Times September 7, 2007
UN warns of unrest as food price inflation hits developing countries
By Javier Blas in Rome
Developing countries face serious social unrest as they struggle to cope
with soaring food prices, the United Nations' top agriculture official has
warned.
Jacques Diouf, director-general of the UN's Food and Agriculture
Organisation, said surging prices for basic food imports such as wheat, corn
and milk had the "potential for social tension, leading to social reactions
and eventually even political problems".
Mr Diouf said food prices would continue to increase because of a mix of
strong demand from developing countries; a rising global population, more
frequent floods and droughts caused by climate change; and the biofuel
industry's appetite for grains.
"That combination of factors would most likely lead to increases in food
prices," Mr Diouf told the Financial Times.
Signs were seen in Mexico this year where mass protests were triggered by
rising corn prices. Mr Diouf said food represented about 10-20 per cent of
consumer spending in industrialised countries, but up to 65 per cent in
developing nations.
"If we continue to see an increase in their [food] prices and in their
import bill for food, there is a serious potential situation," Mr Diouf
said.
The warning comes as wheat prices are at a high, forcing developing
countries such as India and Egypt to pay record prices for imports in what
cereal traders described as "panic buying" to beef up reserves.
Wheat prices this week rose to a record $8.86 a bushel in Chicago, up about
60 per cent since January. Dairy product prices have also set records, while
other commodities, such as corn and soyabeans, are trading well above
historical averages.
Mr Diouf said although the biofuel industry directly increased the
consumption of only a handful of agricultural commodities, such as corn and
rapeseed, its effect spread to other food products because less acreage was
devoted to non-biofuel crops and the cost of feeding livestock with grain
was pushed up.
"The biofuel industry is a new factor creating demand for food for a
non-food use," he said.
Fears about the inflationary impact of biofuels on global food prices have
prompted Cargill, the world's largest agricultural company by revenues, to
question the White House-led push for an increase in ethanol production
through tax subsidies.
Additional reporting byEoin Callan in Washington
Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2007
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