[Marxism] 80% of Americans have experienced a falling share of US income
Michael Perelman
michael at ecst.csuchico.edu
Fri Jan 11 10:45:10 MST 2008
This is the way I discussed the subject in The Confiscation of American Prosperity
Despite a historically slow rate of growth, between 1970 and 2003, the Gross
Domestic Product adjusted for inflation almost tripled, from $3.7 trillion to $11.7
trillion (President of the United States 2006, Table B 12, p. 296). Because the
population also increased by about 35 percent during that same period, per capita
income grew more slowly than the Gross Domestic Product. On average, per capita
income still has more than doubled but not for everybody.
Hourly wage earners certainly did not benefit from the economic growth.
According to government statistics, hourly wages corrected for inflation peaked in
1972 at $8.99 measured in 1982 dollars. By 2005, hourly wages had fallen to $8.17,
although they rose modestly during that period using a different measure of inflation
(President of the United States 2006, Table B 47, p. 338).
In a pathbreaking series of studies, economists Thomas Piketty from the
French research institute, CEPREMAP and Emmanuel Saez of the University of California
at Berkeley produced a veritable treasure trove of data for researchers interested in
the distribution of income. Using data from the Internal Revenue Service, Piketty
and Saez reported gross pretax income for taxpaying units measured in 2000 dollars.
This income excludes all government transfers to taxpayers such as Social
Security, unemployment benefits, welfare payments, etc. as well as employees'
payroll taxes, and capital gains. Their data is especially valuable because, unlike
most data sets, it provides information about the highest incomes.
These data show that for the bottom 99 percent of taxpaying units, the
average income stood at $36,008 in 1970, then peaked in 1973 at the same time as
hourly wages at $38,206. This figure bottomed out in 1993 at $33,087. By 2004,
average income for the bottom 99 percent recovered somewhat to $37,295, but was still
below where it had been three decades earlier (Piketty and Saez 2006; see also
Johnston 2003, pp. 38 39; and Krugman 2002).
Of course, not everybody in the bottom 99 percent fell behind, but the losses
among the vast majority were sufficient to counterbalance the gains of the most
fortunate members of this group. Also, as Piketty and Saez warn, the data require
some refinement. Part of the shrinkage in the income per capita for the bottom 99
percent of the population results from a decline in the number of people within the
average taxpaying unit. Also, the exclusion of capital gains creates a further
understatement of income, especially among the most affluent of the bottom 99
percent.
--
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929
Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail michael at ecst.csuchico.edu
michaelperelman.wordpress.com
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