[Marxism] Electoral Cretinism: Potomac Edition, Obama takes the lead

[Anthony Boynton]

If as Jaoquin's post indicates, Obama's candidate has
become a "movement", then the big question is, 

When will that movement begin to collide with the
party within which it is growing?

The "left" should anticipate that this conflict may
happen as soon as the Democratic Party convention, or
may be postponed by years. 

To meet this uncertain situation, the left has two
principle tactics available to it: election campaigns
and demonstrations.

Should Obama be denied the Democratic nomination, the
potential for a Cynthia McKinney or Ralph Nader
presidential campaign will instantly increase. If
Obama is nominated, this type of campaign will be much
lonelier, but no less important in the long run. It
will show the flag for those who become disenchanted
witht he Democrats later.

Whether or not Obama wins the nominations, and whether
or not he wins the general election, demonstrations
against the wars in the Middle East next Spring will
have enourmous potential.

When the collision between the Democrats and the Obama
movement occurs will almost certainly depend in the
first place upon whether or not Barrack Obama wins the
Democratic Party nomination.

If he does, he stands a very good chance of winning
the general election. In this case this new movement
will almost certainly experience a sense of electoral
euphoria at its victory, postponing its collision with
Obama and the Democratic Party. 

The honeymoon will however unravel when as President
Mr. Obama, begins to show his true politics. 

If he is nominated but does not win, the collision
could be postponed for years, since the Democratic
Party in opposition can appear to be much more
favorable to stances it is really against - like
ending the wars in the Middle East.

If Obama makes a deal with Mrs. Clinton to be her Vice
Presidential candidate, the movement will probably
experience the beginnings of disappointment, but the
development of conflict with the Democratic Party will
be more of a slow burn than an immediate crisis.

If the duo is elected, the 'Obama' movements' future
conflict with the Demos is likely to be more complex
than if he were to be elected as Prez himself. As VP
he will have the potential to appear to be independent
- to one degree or another - of the decisions and
policies of the new President Clinton. 

If he runs as VP candidate, but they do not win...

And if Mrs. Clinton steals the nomination from mr.
Obama, or even appears to steal it, the conflict will
happen before November. And that is probably the least
predictable scenario.

More later, Anthony


      ____________________________________________________________________________________
Never miss a thing.  Make Yahoo your home page. 
http://www.yahoo.com/r/hs