[Marxism] More than 1,000,000 Iraqis murdered

[Anthony Boynton]

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September 2007 - More than 1,000,000 Iraqis murdered

In the week in which General Patraeus reports back to
US Congress on the impact the recent ‘surge’ is having
in Iraq, a new poll reveals that more than 1,000,000
Iraqi citizens have been murdered since the invasion
took place in 2003.

Previous estimates, most noticeably the one published
in the Lancet in October 2006, suggested almost half
this number (654,965 deaths).
These findings come from a poll released today by ORB,
the British polling agency that has been tracking
public opinion in Iraq since 2005. In conjunction with
their Iraqi fieldwork agency a representative sample
of 1,499 adults aged 18+ answered the following
question:-

QHow many members of your household, if any, have died
as a result of the conflict in Iraq since 2003 (ie as
a result of violence rather than a natural death such
as old age)? Please note that I mean those who were
actually living under your roof.

None 78%
One 16%
Two 5%
Three 1%
Four or more 0.002%

Given that from the 2005 census there are a total of
4,050,597 households this data suggests a total of
1,220,580 deaths since the invasion in 2003.
Calculating the affect from the margin of error we
believe that the range is a minimum of 733,158 to a
maximum of 1,446,063

Please click on this link if you want a local
perspective on these figures - a short interview with
our pollster Dr Munqeth Daghir -
http://195.158.192.26/munqeth/

Detailed analysis (which is available on our website)
indicates that almost one in two households in Baghdad
have lost a family member, significantly higher than
in any other area of the country. The governorates of
Diyala (42%) and Ninewa (35%) were next.

The poll also questioned the surviving relatives on
the method in which their loved ones were killed. It
reveals that 48% died from a gunshot wound, 20% from
the impact of a car bomb, 9% from aerial bombardment,
6% as a result of an accident and 6% from another
blast/ordnance. This is significant because more often
that not it is car bombs and aerial bombardments that
make the news – with gunshots rarely in the headlines.

As well as a murder rate that now exceeds the Rwanda
genocide from 1994 (800,000 murdered), not only have
more than one million been injured but our poll
calculates that of the millions of Iraqis that have
fled their neighbourhoods, 52% have moved within Iraq
but 48% have crossed its borders, with Syria taking
the bulk of refugees.

And for those left in Iraq, although 81% may describe
the availability of basic groceries such as bread and
fresh vegetables as “very/fairly good”, more than one
in two (54%) consider them to be “expensive”.
Note:
The opinion poll was conducted by ORB and the survey
details are as follows:

•Results are based on face-to-face interviews amongst
a nationally representative sample of 1,720 adults
aged 18+ throughout Iraq (1,499 agreed to answer the
question on household deaths)
•The standard margin of error on the sample who
answered (1,499) is +2.5%
•The methodology uses multi-stage random probability
sampling and covers fifteen of the eighteen
governorates within Iraq. For security reasons Karbala
and Al Anbar were not included. Irbil was excluded as
the authorities refused our field team a permit.
•Interviews conducted August 12th – 19th 2007.
•Full results and data tabulations are available at
www.opinion.co.uk/newsroom.aspx
•ORB is a full member of the British Polling Council
and abides by its rules

TABLESreligioncorrected.pdf
FinalDeadNumbersWEIGHTED.xls


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