[Marxism] The American Military's Lose-Lose Dilemma in Iraq
Louis Proyect
lnp3 at panix.com
Thu Aug 2 07:44:49 MDT 2007
The Benchmarks That Matter
The American Military's Lose-Lose Dilemma in Iraq
By Michael Schwartz
President Bush has called upon Congress, the American public, the Iraqi
people, and the world to suspend judgment -- until at least September --
on the success of his escalation of the war, euphemistically designated
a "surge." But the fact is: It has already failed and it's obvious
enough why.
Much attention has been paid to the recent White House report that
recorded "satisfactory performance" on eight Congressional benchmarks
and "unsatisfactory performance" on six others (with an additional four
receiving mixed evaluations). Fred Kaplan of Slate and Patrick Cockburn
of the Independent, among others, have demonstrated the fraudulence of
this assessment. Cockburn summarized his savaging of the document
thusly: "In reality, the six failures are on issues critical to the
survival of Iraq while the eight successes are on largely trivial matters."
As it happens, though, these benchmarks are almost completely beside the
point. They don't represent the key goals of the surge at all, which
were laid out clearly by the President in his January speech announcing
the operation:
"Our troops will have a well-defined mission: to help Iraqis clear
and secure neighborhoods, to help them protect the local population, and
to help ensure that the Iraqi forces left behind are capable of
providing the security that Baghdad needs."
The success of such "benchmarks" can be judged relatively easily. As
President Bush himself put the matter: "We can expect to see Iraqi
troops chasing down murderers, fewer brazen acts of terror, and growing
trust and cooperation from Baghdad's residents."
This was supposed to be accomplished through two major initiatives. Most
visibly, the U.S. military was to adopt a more aggressive strategy for
pacifying Baghdad neighborhoods considered strongholds for the Sunni
insurgency. Occupation officials blame them for the bulk of the vehicle
bombs and other suicide attacks that have devastated mainly Shiite
neighborhoods. The second, less visible (but no less important)
initiative involved subduing the Mahdi army of cleric Moqtada al-Sadr --
the largest and most ferocious of the Shia militias -- which occupation
officials blame for the bulk of death-squad murders in and around the
capital.
These changes should have been observable as early as this July. By
then, as a "senior American military officer" told the New York Times,
it would already be time to refocus attention on "restoring services and
rebuilding the neighborhoods."
To judge the surge right now -- by the President's real "benchmarks" --
we need only look for a dramatic drop in vehicle and other "multiple
fatality bombings" in populated areas, and for a dramatic drop in the
number of tortured and executed bodies found each morning in various
dumping spots around Baghdad.
By these measures, the surge has already been a miserable failure,
something that began to be documented as early as April when Nancy
Youssef of the McClatchy newspapers reported that there had been no
decline in suicide-bombing deaths; and that, after an initial decline in
the bodies discarded by death-squads around the capital, the numbers
were rising again. (These trends have been substantiated by the
Brookings Institution, which has long collected the latest statistics
from Iraq.)
full:
http://www.tomdispatch.com/post/174827/michael_schwartz_benchmarking_iraq_for_disaster
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